Thu 5/17X
Great Blog of Virginia
‘Hoos End Season With Maryland
‘Hoos End Season With Maryland
Source: Great Blog of Virginia by Charlie Sallwasser
We’ve only lost one game — not one series, one game — to Maryland since the current coaching staff took over in 2004, a mark that currently sits at 23-1. The lone loss came at Davenport in 2009, so the current regime has yet to lose at Turtle Smith Stadium going into tonight. Great. That’s the good news — the bad is that Maryland’s team is on the upswing, and, regardless of a rough-looking ACC record, has some players who can do some damage.
Offense has been a problem for Maryland. They rank in the bottom third of the ACC in hits, batting average, on-base percentage, walks, slugging percentage, and home runs. They’re scoring only 4.9 runs per game, and that figure drops to 4.0 in ACC games (and 3.2 when you take out the 21 run explosion against last place Duke — context is key). Only one Maryland regular is hitting .300, and that’s right fielder Jordan Hagel (.311), who doubles as the only one with a .400 OBP (.403). The most interesting thing about Maryland is the amount they run — they’ve got 74 steals, good for second in the ACC, and they do it well (76.2% success rate). Three Terps have 15 steals on the year: Hagel (in 19 attempts), shortstop Alfredo Rodriguez (in 18 attempts), and center fielder Korey Wacker (in 17 tries).
Our offense has been OK, but I’d love to see some spark from the guys (particularly King, Fisher, and Chris Taylor, who continues to lead off with his last-place OBP of .374) before postseason play starts. It’s felt a little like Bruno and the Seven Dwarfs at times recently, with no one seeming to consistently feel it except him.
The pitching rotation will remain unchanged for this series, as BOC has been heard saying he wants to get Kline the extra work. Likely matchups look like this:
Branden Kline (6-3, 3.96 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, .239 BAA, 78 K in 75 IP) against RHP Brett Harman (6-3, 2.72 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, .254 BAA, 68 K in 76 IP)
Scott Silverstein (2-4, 3.86 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, .225 BAA, 42 K in 58.1 IP) against RHP Michael Boyden (2-3, 3.44 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, .207 BAA, 47 K in 49.2 IP)
Artie Lewicki (3-2, 4.10 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, .240 BAA, 37 K in 59.1 IP) against RHP David Carroll (4-3, 3.96 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, .275 BAA, 40 K in 66 IP)
Maryland’s staff has a 2.99 ERA overall and is allowing just a .243 BAA, so they’re not going to just let us get our offensive schwerve back on. This should be a tightly contested series, and I see us taking home two of three and saddling BOC with his first loss at Maryland.